A Tiger By the Tail by F. A. Hayek

By F. A. Hayek

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G. D. ), Economic Growth in Britain (London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1966). 13 Robbins, ‘Full Employment as an Objective’, in The Economist in the Twentieth Century (London: Macmillan, 1954); italics in original. 6 THE DEBATE , 1931–1971 The present determination of wages by bargain between employer and employed would be suspended. Wage-fixing by the state would take its place. He believed, however, that this alternative would be rejected ‘on the ground that in the end its efficient operation would prove to be incompatible with the continuation of political democracy.

The Approach to an Incomes Policy Over the following 25-odd years, the early Keynesian theory was further elaborated and refined and a highly sophisticated series of macro-economic models developed. The 1950s more especially saw the discovery of ‘cost inflation’, in which a rise in wages pushed up the cost level. As prices were determined by costs, and, in crucial sectors of the economy, were ‘administered’ on the cost-plus-mark-up practice, prices rose to protect profit margins. 7 In these circumstances a contractionary monetary/fiscal policy would be deflationary: it would lead to socially intolerable levels of unemployment and excess capacity; an alternative measure, directed specifically at rising costs, would have to be devised.

7 In these circumstances a contractionary monetary/fiscal policy would be deflationary: it would lead to socially intolerable levels of unemployment and excess capacity; an alternative measure, directed specifically at rising costs, would have to be devised. If price stability and full employment could both be achieved by keeping wage increases within the limits set by rises in productivity, this implied an ‘incomes policy’. Further investigation into the implications for the price- and wage-level of linking sectoral wage increases with productivity strengthened the case for a nationally-determined ‘wages policy’ covering both relative wage-rates and the general wage level.

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